AFL tipping - round 5 - "g'yarr, I don't know what I'm doing..."
Just... just don't pay attention to my tips. I mean last week was simply a disaster, with my lowest score in a few years. There I was, thinking it was all pretty straightforward, so the universe goes and gives me a right kick up the arse and tells me to pay attention, or don't, or develop a randomised method of tipping and do that instead, or work out a complicated system involving the cats somehow, or whatever. Dammit. Pushed me from 2nd to 13th in one comp and kept me in second in the other with fellow tipsters catching up markedly.
So I'm going to keep this simple and not put so much effort into the analysis given it's likely at least three of them will be proved wrong:
Port Adelaide v St Kilda: Saints are due for a win and Port can't beat a top four team twice in a row.
Essendon v Collingwood: Good win for the Pies last week to get them back into some kind of form, should get the win in tomorrow's big game.
Hawthorn v West Coast: Tasmania, cranky Hawks chastened after being beaten by Port, inconsistent Eagles, Hawthorn to win.
North Melbourne v Richmond: 5 losses in a row for the Tigers I reckon despite Mark Coughlan's return. Wallace won't go till the end of the season.
Fremantle v Sydney Swans: God help me, I'm tipping the Dockers. Lord ha'mercy on dis poah, deluded boy etc etc. Sydney like the tight spaces of the SCG but the wide open spaces of Subiaco Oval aren't so amenable.
Geelong v Brisbane: No ruckmen, no chance for the Lions against the Premiership favourites, especially at Kardinia Park.
Western Bulldogs v Carlton: No Akermanis or Cooney for the Bulldogs versus a Blues team looking to make amends for a clumsy loss against Sydney last week.
Melbourne v Adelaide: The Demons needed the win, albeit against the Tigers, but won't be able to overcome the Crows.
Ok, so I'm seeing at least four games there that could go the other way. Which is why I never bet on football. Enjoy your weekend, and I trust you'll spare a thought for our veterans tomorrow.
My Groups
-
Australian Politics Updated: Yesterday
-
Poker players Updated: Sep 23, 2009
-
Australian Rules Football (host) Updated: Sep 3, 2009
Neighborhood
Explore friends, family, friends & family, or entire neighborhood.
Comments
Big mistake. If there was a mercy rule in footy they would have called the game early.
Yeah, that was quite a thumping. I picked it correctly but it blows my margin (and probably everyone else's) out a bit.
Tipping Hawthorn last week was a perfectly reasonable proposition, and I think Port ended up being the team that was "switched on" when they ran out onto the 'G instead of the Hawks. I figured that they wouldn't be able to repeat the performance against the Saints though, and Burgoyne being out for them sealed my decision. Better luck with the rest of your tips though - Essendon would have to be a good chance today I reckon...
The Bombers are giving me grey hair. I don't want to get too confident and put the moz on them. The win over Carlton would have been much easier to watch if it hadn't been the Bombers involved. They are doing good things for me in the tipping. When they win I go further up the ladder.
Yeah I agree with you, they just never seem to be right in the head (to put it a little crudely). I honestly never thought that they really deserved to be in that grand final anyway, and boy was it ever a boring one.
Better grey hair than losing it I suppose. I haven't really seen them in action so far this season (blame the Canberra coverage again) so I'm looking forward to taking a look at their team today.
Go Bombers.
That was a remarkable game of football, full credit to Essendon. I was listening on the radio before catching the last five minutes of the match on the tv - when Hille went off after three minutes (and I am sorry to hear he's out for the season) I thought for sure they were gone. But boy, great running by the Bombers there for a great win. Naturally I didn't tip 'em.
I thought the Bombers looked knackered at the start of the last quarter but there is nothing like a late goal to get everyone fired up. The Pies could have iced it with some straight kicks and we could have blamed farting around on the back line in the 3rd term if we had lost it. Phew.
More grey hairs but another point.
Richmond in front now. Another point in danger and the Eagles had a sniff too. Damn this is getting tough.